Home Win rate is in between 33% - 40%. The Home team wining
rate will increase if the water rate under low level for AH. So we are normal
just focus the team with low water rate on AH.
If the Home team’s water
rate level is keep 1.80 for long time from open odd until kick off, then
the bookmaker is trend to home team will not lost the game. If the water
rate level is increase to close 1.85 or 1.85 before one or 2 hour kick off.
Then it may have huge betting on the away team or bookmaker creates the
fake info to trend away team. But if the water rate level is increase to
1.875 or above, then bookmaker may receive the insider news to trend away
team. So home team may hard to win the game or lost. Normally, bookmaker
has less confident that home team to win the game if the water level from
1.80 to 1.875. So if the water rate level from 1.80 to 1.90 or above, then
you can give up for the home team.
Home and Away are 1.925
water rate levels, if any side drop the water rate to 1.85 or lower, then
the winning rate of this game will higher. But if the water rate level is
near 1.875 then pick opposite team.
AH Odd is 0.25
Home win rate is in between 40% - 45%, we have a simple way
to analysis AH Odd 0.25
analysis that whether the
lower odd team have chance or possibility to beat the upper odd team, if
answer is NO, then pick lower odd team.
If away team is stronger
than home team, and the water rate level is keep 1.80 for long time. Then
the away team will have higher chance to lose.
