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Anyone that has observed the NFL since the start of Monday Night Football,
is conscious of, or has heard of the dominance by home underdogs in the early years. It was exciting for fans, and the novelty seemed to raise the level of play, inspired by the lights, and the home crowds, who were extremely enthusiastic. That flame couldn't burn eternally, and the system that at one time was pouring out winners year after year, lost its legs and went into the history books.
So what do we have now? Do we have a alternate that is the antithesis of what the Monday Night Football home dog was all about, only bigger, better, and stronger? It seems there is a brand-new star, under the radar to most gamblers, but let me introduce you to Thursday Night Favorites, Monday Night Football home dog style...but with more juice!
What the Monday Night home dog was to bettors, the Thursday NFL Favorite has risen up to a higher place and beyond anything the Monday Night Home dog ever dreamed of being, and this Thursday Thug has been stealing the cash going on half of a decade.
Last year this system came out running with the NY Giants playing host to the Washington Redskins as a -4.5 point favorite. It soon showed that it was ready and waiting for another big year, with a 16-7 Giant win and cover. So what could this system do in 2008-09? It ended up going 7-2-1 ATS, for 78% winners! That included a 3-0 record on Thanksgiving!
Looking back at 2007-08, the system did not disappoint, as it turned in an even better 7-1 ATS year, good for 88% winners!...and yes, another 3-0 Thanksgiving Day sweep!
The 2006-07 season realized another outstanding year as the Thursday favorite was off to the cash window again, finishing with a 6-2 ATS mark, good for 75%...and you guessed it, a perfect 2-0 Turkey Day sweep!
The 2005-06 season only saw 3 Thursday games, but it made the most of them, as the system cashed all 3 for 100%! ...and of course it went an impeccable 2-0 on Thanksgiving!
The system's birth year, back in 2004-05 witnessed another 100% season at 2-0-1 ATS, and of course a perfect 2-0 sweep on Thanksgiving Day!
So, looking back over the previous 5 years, the NFL Thursday Favorite System has gone a stunning 25-5 ATS (83%)!
Looking at the last 5 years on Turkey Day, the favorites won all 13 games, going a perfect 13-0 ATS and really,ahem...gobbling up the cash!
This Thursday we have the opening test in 2009-10 with the representing Superbowl Champions, the Pittsburgh Steelers, hosting the Tennessee Titans. What also can be mentioned is the Superbowl winner is now 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 opening games in the following year!!!
Does this mean the Steelers are a sure-thing to win and cover here? Absolutely not! It requires more than 30 games to make something desirable enough to play along on the blind, but the recipe of the last 5 years has called for deep-frying the books. The question is, can this system keep it up for a 6th year, or is it time for it to fade, and lay it to rest it with the Monday Night Football home dogs system?
