Indian IT industry: Change of guard on cards ‎

But in today's climate the game, has turned to a scrap for market share. Tata Consultancy Services and HCL Technologies look to be on top, but don't rule out a revival at Infosys and Wipro.

 Disappointing results from both Infosys and Wipro look all the worse alongside strong performance by domestic rivals. Earnings at global software and IT services companies are expected to decline by 2 per cent on an average this year, according to Societe Generale research. And while HCL's latest quarterly numbers were good, the group cautioned that large US and European corporations had spent 40 per cent less on new projects in the first half compared to the same period last year.

A tougher environment that creates winners and losers amongst India's "big four" outsources may be no bad thing. Both Infosys and Wipro have changed CEOs recently. Local rivalry means that both men are now under real pressure to keep their companies competitive.

Industry Trends

And there are areas where greater focus and discipline should drive improvements for customers and investors. All the companies need to find the right mix between traditional outsourcing service and higher-value IT consultancy. TCS has been particularly skilled at changing with the times, increasing its market share in lower-cost activities. By contrast, Infosys lost ground in this segment and has been unable to compensate with its consultancy business, given stiff competition from the likes of US-based IBM and Accenture. Infosys' long-term strategy to reposition towards higher-margin may prove clever when the economy recovers, and competition for TCS should be a spur to accelerate implementation.