The progressive death of a church is effectively described by the "Condition versus Time" curve.
The progressive death of a church is effectively described by the “Condition versus Time Curve” familiar to practitioners of asset management, risk abatement, reliability optimization and quality control. This curve defines the health or condition of the church at any given time. At the onset of decline, one or more of the components, resources or activities of the church begins to malfunction. It is hardly noticeable at the time and the overall enterprise continues its activities essentially undisturbed. A pastor retires, for example, leaving a leadership vacuum. His successor has few leadership skills. So a loose collection of obscure committees assumes the mantle of leadership. Unfortunately, these committees are not structured for leadership. They become obstacles to progress and slide into a mind-set portrayed by the slogan, “We will not lead, we will not follow and we will not get out of the way.” The “Condition versus Time Curve” eventually reaches the “P” point. The church continues to function but “Potential Failure” is revealed to the discerning observer by the appearance of the following types of issues:
A church at the “P” point can be salvaged but serious remediation is required. A church at the “P” point would benefit greatly from a Root Cause Analysis (RCA) conducted by an Asset Management or Risk Abatement consultant. But committee members cannot tolerate that degree of scrutiny; it would be far too painful and humiliating. So the Condition versus Time Curve continues its downward progression. The curve eventually reaches the “F” point. “Functional Failure” finally occurs but is typically preceded by many red flag events such as:
Once a church reaches the “F” point, failure is probably inevitable even though actual death may not occur for several years depending on the financial situation. Up to 5000 churches in America close their doors each year. Church foreclosures are on the rise. God does not intervene to save a disobedient church.
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